Polymarket Trader

rvdcapital

@rvdcapital

0xb5122573a20be2455af0343ba229ee0df0b9aba5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $564.14
Realized PnL: $1.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20.01

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $108
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $192
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $206.97
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $93.03
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $30.69

Yes position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $81.3
Potential payout: $229.03
Potential profit: $147.72
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $36.45

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $25.32
Potential payout: $211
Potential profit: $185.68
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$12.58

Yes position

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $163
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$29.17

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $15.54
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $95.46
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $77.51
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $13.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

OpenSea token announcement in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $415.12

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.86

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.23

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.5

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.46

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.27

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.59

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.82

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.66

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.65

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.45

No position

Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.61

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.29

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.27

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.18

Gane position

Aspinall vs. Gane

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $21.09

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.01

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.54

No position

VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.86

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 65% 300 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 24.3% 151.64 shares
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 26% 300 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 65% 300 shares
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 38% 700 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Yes 20% 298.72 shares
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 68.4% 70.58 shares
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 38% 147.78 shares
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Yes 26% 314.17 shares
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 38% 400 shares
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 26% 56.4 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1% 2,000 shares