Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $351.55
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$113.9
Polymarket Trader
0xb513e6536c84f8cA9e33658F78850CD9cfcCB9a6-1760992327011
0xb513e6536c84f8ca9e33658f78850cd9cfccb9a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.17K
- Realized PnL
- $483.73
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $674.19
- Potential profit
- $674.19
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $672.37
- Potential profit
- $672.37
- User PnL
- -$62
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$135
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $13.32
- Potential payout
- $416.1
- Potential profit
- $402.78
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$68.79
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $125.13
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.94
- Potential profit
- $126.94
- User PnL
- -$11.65
Yes position
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $114.94
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $109.72
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.75
- Potential profit
- $74.75
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $69.11
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $69.99
- User PnL
- -$48.99
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.49
- Potential profit
- $68.49
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will the United States win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.29
- Potential profit
- $39.29
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.86
- Potential profit
- $37.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.64
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.44
No position
Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.53
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.62
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.02
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.48
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.46
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 76% 15 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 75% 35 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 73% 21.03 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 89% 300 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 88% 80.08 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 16.8% 40 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 16.6% 1.85 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 22.2% 225.55 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 90% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 88% 61.55 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 86% 400 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 16.9% 60 shares