Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $8.27K
- Potential payout
- $14.38K
- Potential profit
- $6.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Polymarket Trader
cambridgeisaac
0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.92K
- Realized PnL
- $59.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.67K
- Potential profit
- $12.67K
- User PnL
- -$3.18K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $919.96
- Potential payout
- $10.82K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.37K
- Potential payout
- $7.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.15K
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $533.35
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $816.15
Yes position
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- User PnL
- -$15.45
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.52K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $935.94
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $815.48
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$439.35
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$194.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$700.45
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- User PnL
- -$379.54
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- User PnL
- -$146.93
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $136.65
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$813.34
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$224.82
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $647.85
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$352.14
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $579.08
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$162.21
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$354
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $127.86
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $427.05
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$527.64
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $656.34
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $387.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 33.2% 558.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 82.8% 2,416.87 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 93% 537.63 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 57% 300 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 80.5% 620.88 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 78.3% 638.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 76% 657.89 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 76% 394.74 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 24% 285.01 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 75.8% 395.59 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 77% 649.35 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 76% 657.89 shares