No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $3.07K
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $229.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Polymarket Trader
LKFen
@Lukashfen
0xb520524a6299b6e188da9343c92267443b61c3d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.58K
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $490
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.53
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.85
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.8
Yes position
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.81
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.51
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.66
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.67
Over position
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.34
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.85
No position
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.52
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.48
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.8% 983 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?No 98.7% 1,200 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?No 98.6% 25 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?Yes 73% 20 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?Yes 60.9% 1,148.52 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?Yes 50.1% 110 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?Yes 50.4% 675.5 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?Yes 60% 319.18 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.5% 5,432 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No 96.4% 5,200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 88.5% 2,015 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 78.4% 3,294.46 shares