Polymarket Trader

monkeybox

0xb521a776449c87c1f59da4ec0c0a214fe9e418f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $124.76
Realized PnL: $354.17
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.48K
Potential profit: $199.48K
User PnL: -$276.48

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.12K
Potential profit: $195.12K
User PnL: -$1.04K

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $11.75K
User PnL: -$37.27

No position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $75.19
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$80.9

Yes position

Netanyahu out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.68
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$39.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620
Potential profit: $620
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $15.64
Potential payout: $401
Potential profit: $385.36
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.05
Potential profit: $254.05
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.02
Potential profit: $12.02
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.29

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.9

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.09

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.35

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.11

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.89

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,500 on March 8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Rockets position

Bulls vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Buccaneers position

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.06

Raducanu position

Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osorio

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.16

Lakers position

Hornets vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 3.5% 2,244.48 shares
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?

Yes 4% 401 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Portugal 94.6% 223.46 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Portugal 59.7% 223.46 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 39.5% 348.85 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 31.8% 95.69 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 19.7% 253.16 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 75% 269.28 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 39% 122.23 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 34% 147.06 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 0.2% 620 shares
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 521.99 shares