No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $189.09
- Potential payout
- $317.8
- Potential profit
- $128.71
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Polymarket Trader
Ytshak
0xb52ea5797594540dd559ddc31a4e930f8021c256
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $200.3
- Realized PnL
- -$225.8
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $11.21
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $161.21
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$88.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.25
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 59% 317.8 shares
- Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 13% 25.38 shares
- Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes 18.9% 211.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 25.2% 396.13 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 32% 156.25 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 33% 303.03 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Yes 17.8% 560.73 shares