Polymarket Trader

0xb53E6e885e4722499C253A6c2eE206829C43DaC6-1778678968930

0xb53e6e885e4722499c253a6c2ee206829c43dac6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.92
Realized PnL: $3.48
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.32
Potential profit: $497.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Parmida Keshani be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $42.91
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will anyone say "Six Seven" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will anyone say "Glizzy" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $8.57
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Trump say "World War" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will anyone say "Weather" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.87
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $6.47
Potential profit: $4.39
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Dribble" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.76
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the announcers say "Extra Time" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Trump say "Alexander" or "Hamilton" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the announcers say "Save" or "Saves" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will anyone say "Mustard" 10+ times during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will anyone say "Tinder" during Love Island E28?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $1.52
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.53

No position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

No 31.7% 14.28 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Down 24% 20.83 shares
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 34% 2.94 shares
Will Parmida Keshani be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Trump say "Alexander" or "Hamilton" during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will anyone say "Glizzy" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Trump say "World War" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 22% 4.55 shares
Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 30.9% 3.24 shares
Will the announcers say "Save" or "Saves" 5+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

No 43% 2.33 shares
Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 39% 2.56 shares
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Yes 20% 5 shares