Polymarket Trader

Argus404

0xb54677e2fdbdd95103df421af6bc00213f98c186

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $136.42
Realized PnL: $0.85
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.5
Potential profit: $157.5
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.5
Potential profit: $117.5
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $13.89
Potential payout: $75.1
Potential profit: $61.21
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $3.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $15.35
Potential payout: $37.91
Potential profit: $22.56
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $36.78
Potential profit: $35.5
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $14.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $19.17
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $24.42
Potential payout: $33.22
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $20.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $20.31
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $29.19
Potential profit: $18.97
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.34
Potential profit: $28.34
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $10.34
Potential payout: $28.32
Potential profit: $17.98
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $2.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.17
Potential profit: $24.17
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $19.46
Potential profit: $14.4
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.53
Potential profit: $5.53
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: -$5.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?

Yes 27.3% 28.32 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 28?

Yes 34.3% 29.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Yes 60.2% 33.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?

Yes 8.2% 36.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 26.3% 19.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?

Yes 14.2% 35.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 31% 32.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?

Yes 12.6% 39.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 31% 32.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 25.7% 38.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Yes 9.7% 48.06 shares