Polymarket Trader

bdr2

0xb54a3769b1fb212870e56aaadb397c1840ccc622

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28K
Realized PnL: $4.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $182.65
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $5.81K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$52.02

Yes position

Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.9K
User PnL: -$51.55

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $25.97
Potential payout: $5.77K
Potential profit: $5.75K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$39.65

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $45.05
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$82.29

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $32.69
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$175.5

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$43.39

Yes position

Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$142.9

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
User PnL: -$12.91

Yes position

Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.44K
User PnL: -$26.48

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $39.73
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$38.3

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$46.59

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$18.8

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $193.84
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $148.46

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$91.59

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$5.16

Yes position

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $545.26
Potential payout: $936.87
Potential profit: $391.61
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $111.55

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $143.2
Potential payout: $835
Potential profit: $691.8
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $53.86

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $44.45
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $655.55
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$15.75

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $16.34
Potential payout: $666.92
Potential profit: $650.58
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.29
Potential profit: $649.29
User PnL: -$31.49

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $11.68
Potential payout: $631.58
Potential profit: $619.89
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.42
Potential profit: $500.42
User PnL: -$5.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $762

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $632.44

No position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?

Ends Nov 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.23

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $449.7

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.89

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.94

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.08

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.99

No position

Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.71

Vance position

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.85

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.19

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.75

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.44

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Yes position

Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.8% 500 shares
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.4% 393.31 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 631.58 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 59.3% 337.27 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 99.9% 199.73 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 2.3% 115 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 62.3% 19.99 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 1% 1,020 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 13% 95 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 666.92 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.3% 100 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.1% 988.92 shares