Polymarket Trader

mvkv

0xb5520b214bb123d373178ad58d9e2643c25d24e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.58
Realized PnL: $212.04
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.61
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $14.14
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.42

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.83

No position

Will Donald Trump dance on June 5, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $805.19
Potential profit: $805.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.56
Potential profit: $402.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $360.19
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $301.52
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$8.48

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.68
Potential profit: $263.68
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $261.97
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$8.82

Yes position

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $262.25
Potential profit: $259.1
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$6.85

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.09
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $173.73
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Alexandra Eala position

Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $81.82
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Daniel Altmaier position

Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.31

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 93% 17.54 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 30% 33.33 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 5.5% 181.82 shares
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

No 33% 30.29 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala

Alexandra Eala 7% 142.86 shares
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe

Daniel Altmaier 15% 66.67 shares
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo

Arthur Fery 41% 48.76 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 2.7% 370.37 shares