Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $207.67
- Potential payout
- $585
- Potential profit
- $377.33
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $108.22
Polymarket Trader
mottola
0xb555b33e39bde5c4b9a43d6a7bcffbcf4d9d83e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $535.82
- Realized PnL
- $4.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $271.08
- Potential payout
- $502
- Potential profit
- $230.92
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $145.58
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $131
- Potential profit
- $127.73
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.55
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $53.1
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.15
Yes position
Will 3DMAX qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $343.89
No position
Will "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.26
Yes position
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.84
Yes position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $249.2
Yes position
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 85 by April 30?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $235.18
Yes position
Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.44
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.88
No position
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
Y
Yes position
RCD Mallorca leading at halftime?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.27
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.15
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $121.6
Yes position
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.36
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.58
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $101.95
Yes position
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.26
Yes position
Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 70 and 99 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.2
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $87.75
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.52
No position
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $76.23
No position
Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
No position
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.36
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Canva IPO before 2027?No 76% 518 shares
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 67% 42 shares
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 67% 652 shares
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 67% 35 shares
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 70% 729 shares
- Canva IPO before 2027?No 76% 518 shares
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No 59% 272 shares
- Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No 83.7% 523 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No 43% 37 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No 55% 37 shares
- Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No 87.1% 523 shares
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No 87% 703 shares