kwerty

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $10.03K
Potential payout: $22.53K
Potential profit: $12.5K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $3.02K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $14.83K
Potential profit: $13.65K
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$45.98

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $6.4K
Potential profit: $4.21K
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: $821.66

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $476.07
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$23.92

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $855.47
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $704.31

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $533.21
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: -$16.78

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $99.51
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $25.88
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $38.05
Potential payout: $818.32
Potential profit: $780.27
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$11.36

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.62
Potential profit: $785.62
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $353.72
Potential payout: $744.67
Potential profit: $390.95
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$16.28

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $153
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $447
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $71.47
Potential payout: $598.07
Potential profit: $526.6
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$8.53

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $131.81
Potential payout: $505.99
Potential profit: $374.18
Multiplier: 3.84x
User PnL: -$68.19

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Ecuador?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $446.24
Potential profit: $445.57
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$29.33

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $12.1
Potential payout: $372.23
Potential profit: $360.14
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $2.1

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $94.57
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $122.83
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $94.57
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $122.83
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.26
Potential profit: $194.26
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.11
Potential profit: $163.11
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $102.78
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.82
Potential payout: $103.01
Potential profit: $92.19
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$9.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.71

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $325

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.79

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.92

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $75.61

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.18

Yes position

Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.66

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.92

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.83

Yes position

Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $19.83

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $19.05

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?