No position
Will JD Vance say Charlie/Kirk 50+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
AmexAmex
0xb583be26e916c3e91358cde59555c76f8288e223
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.2
- Realized PnL
- $562.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $751.71
- Potential profit
- $751.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $465.12
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $365.61
- Potential profit
- $365.61
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.94
- Potential profit
- $252.94
- User PnL
- -$16.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.55
- Potential profit
- $232.55
- User PnL
- -$31
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.56
- Potential profit
- $211.56
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.53
- Potential profit
- $183.53
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $115.38
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $105.1
- Potential profit
- $98.9
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.44
- Potential profit
- $102.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.78
- Potential profit
- $84.78
- User PnL
- -$25.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.84
- Potential profit
- $80.84
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.86
- Potential profit
- $72.86
- User PnL
- -$30.6
Yes position
Will Andrej Karpathy join one of Elon Musk's companies by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $64.52
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.15
- Potential profit
- $55.15
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.5
Yes position
Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.95
Yes position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $30.25
Yes position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Mets position
Angels vs. Mets
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown 13% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown 31% 16.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown 45.3% 55.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 21% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 34% 60.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 8.8% 57.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 33.1% 75.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown 99% 64.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown 55% 1.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown 8% 62.5 shares