Polymarket Trader

sorinator

0xb58cfac4eb22fb7fa4493e6be40fd77ddb58bcbb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.51
Realized PnL: $37.73
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.51
Potential payout: $49.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$1.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.23
User PnL: -$0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.23
User PnL: -$0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.94
Potential profit: $3.94
User PnL: -$0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.78
Potential profit: $3.78
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.78
Potential profit: $3.78
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27
Potential profit: $3.27
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58
Potential profit: $2.58
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

No position

Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will India invade Pakistan before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Ethereum close above $3200 on July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

No 93.9% 49.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Up 29% 3.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 18% 5.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 33% 3.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 27% 3.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Down 25% 3.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Down 18% 5.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 37% 3.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 31% 3.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 33% 3.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 28% 3.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 41% 2.39 shares