Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $501
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$167
Polymarket Trader
0xb59b573Ffc4AEA5a5CF6360D5C258E784363916b-1763726740210
0xb59b573ffc4aea5a5cf6360d5c258e784363916b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $216.25
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $407.5
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$184.4
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $425.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$111.75
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- User PnL
- -$20
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.5
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.48
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.41
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.38
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.37
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO1)
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.55
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.98
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $36.39
MOUZ position
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1)
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.9
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.12
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $25.38
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.38
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.35
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.57
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes 9% 100 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 46.2% 167.59 shares
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageLGD Gaming 41% 5 shares
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group BXtreme Gaming 59% 33.9 shares
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 13% 20 shares
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 9% 78.22 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 100 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 100 shares
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBetBoom Team 92% 54.09 shares
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora 43% 19.6 shares