Polymarket Trader

iux

0xb59fa092a246a89a9e236124d26aa01710a84a98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $209.49
Realized PnL: $2.11K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $95.31
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$144.69

Yes position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $98.21
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $258.93
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$101.79

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $240.25
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$40.25

Over position

Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $138.07
Potential profit: $131.85
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$13.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.81

Yes position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.02

No position

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $181.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.99

Yes position

Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be between 9% and 12%?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.79

Yes position

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.28

Yes position

Will Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.83

Yes position

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $13.72

Yes position

Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Over 14.5% 138.07 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 56% 357.14 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?

9.1% 427.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Up 90.4% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Up 20% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Down 54.7% 182.95 shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Yes 22.5% 534.18 shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Yes 22.5% 534.18 shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

No 78% 551.59 shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

No 34.9% 286.46 shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

No 34.4% 145.23 shares
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

No 41.7% 119.9 shares