Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Polymarket Trader
0xb5b1...a5ed
0xb5b1dedfe88ad21b652f7d31935d05f617f9a5ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.6
- Realized PnL
- $20.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 6?No 6.2% 21.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 6?No 5.5% 21.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?No 99% 0.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?No 99% 0.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?No 99% 1.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?No 99% 0.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?No 51.7% 2.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?Yes 27% 1.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?Yes 30% 0.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?Yes 30% 1.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?Yes 35% 3.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?No 99.5% 1.79 shares