Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Polymarket Trader
firebloffanboy
0xb5b3c65695386d5b14ed817c0373c570a1f7507b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.42
- Realized PnL
- $10.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$290
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- User PnL
- -$549.99
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$410
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $898.32
- Potential profit
- $898.32
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $813.01
- Potential profit
- $813.01
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.45
- Potential profit
- $772.45
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $740.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $533.33
- Potential profit
- $533.33
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $504.38
- Potential profit
- $504.38
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457.54
- Potential profit
- $457.54
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.39
- Potential profit
- $283.39
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.21
- Potential profit
- $224.21
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $34.37
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $173.96
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$15.62
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $206
- User PnL
- -$40
Over position
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $81.64
- Potential payout
- $171.88
- Potential profit
- $90.23
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $25.4
- Potential payout
- $112.91
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.15
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.06
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.83
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.93
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.01
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.52
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.78
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.75
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.78
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.44
Yes position
Election certified on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.44
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.82
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.48
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.96
Yes position
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?No 89% 8.18 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 77.4% 110.71 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 22% 112.91 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 97.9% 5 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery 34% 22 shares
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over 48% 171.88 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 98% 5 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97% 56 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 54% 37.04 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 7.5% 133.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 16.1% 621.12 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 39% 512.82 shares