Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $6.17K
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $19.5
Polymarket Trader
Astera
0xb5b8eb95db0c651af2b83fb804cc0b700ce5f0cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.11K
- Realized PnL
- $154.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $440.7
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $7.36K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $475.8
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $7.32K
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $23.4
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $393.9
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $7.41K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $308.1
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $7.49K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $861.9
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.17
- Potential profit
- $68.17
- User PnL
- -$40.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.05K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.19K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.97K
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81K
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.7K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
Yes position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91K
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
No position
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Eagles position
Super Bowl LIX Winner
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.12
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.75
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.14
Yes position
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.93
No position
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.05
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $428.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 60% 68.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 73% 57.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 73% 57.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 93% 45.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 92% 45.24 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 99.7% 41.74 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 97.5% 41.74 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 98.2% 41.45 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 98.4% 41.45 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes 2.6% 1,551.19 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes 96.7% 1,551.19 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes 98% 3,080.56 shares