Polymarket Trader

Loooser

0xb5c208ff38cd83f1ad312e269130ad7afe691750

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.26
Realized PnL: $32.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 265–279 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.27K
Potential profit: $51.27K
User PnL: -$51.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.01K
Potential profit: $35.01K
User PnL: -$666.73

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.32K
Potential profit: $32.32K
User PnL: -$55.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.61K
Potential profit: $26.61K
User PnL: -$26.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.08K
Potential profit: $26.08K
User PnL: -$149.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.45K
Potential profit: $25.45K
User PnL: -$167.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $50.26
Potential payout: $25.13K
Potential profit: $25.08K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $25.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $23.27K
User PnL: -$67.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.12K
Potential profit: $23.12K
User PnL: -$143.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.42K
Potential profit: $22.42K
User PnL: -$27.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.39K
Potential profit: $22.39K
User PnL: -$79.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.92K
Potential profit: $21.92K
User PnL: -$54.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5K
Potential profit: $21.5K
User PnL: -$827.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.8K
Potential profit: $20.8K
User PnL: -$96.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.62K
Potential profit: $20.62K
User PnL: -$731.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.18K
Potential profit: $20.18K
User PnL: -$124.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.07K
Potential profit: $20.07K
User PnL: -$73.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.98K
Potential profit: $19.98K
User PnL: -$67.19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.77K
Potential profit: $19.77K
User PnL: -$39.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.45K
Potential profit: $19.45K
User PnL: -$862.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.27K
Potential profit: $19.27K
User PnL: -$29.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.13K
Potential profit: $19.13K
User PnL: -$19.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.62K
Potential profit: $18.62K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.17K
Potential profit: $18.17K
User PnL: -$422.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 23?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

Yes position

Will Solana reach $75 on June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $958.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $904.74

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $832.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $820.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $777.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.71

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.53

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $556.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $545.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 15,000 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?

Yes 2.1% 2,381.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,130 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9AM ET

Up 2.8% 411.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9AM ET

Up 3.1% 411.65 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

Yes 0.8% 1,654.96 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

Yes 7% 1,081.57 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

Yes 6% 140.06 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

Yes 6% 433.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Down 70% 172.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Down 31% 172.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9PM ET

Down 68.2% 55 shares