No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $165.95
- Potential payout
- $169.85
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Polymarket Trader
l5wrGYrLGv
0xb5c4eb8dd83402b22466504039bde5760043cb3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $592.28
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $96.57
- Potential payout
- $126.23
- Potential profit
- $29.66
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $76.39
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.39
- Potential profit
- $76.39
- User PnL
- -$34.68
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $41.46
- Potential payout
- $52.82
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $51.32
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.01
- Potential profit
- $45.01
- User PnL
- -$10.97
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $38.09
- Potential profit
- $37.9
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.12
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.7%
- Current value
- $24.02
- Potential payout
- $33.97
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $28.86
- Potential payout
- $31.95
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $15.56
- Potential payout
- $21.47
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $16.21
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $16.14
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15.71
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.9
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- User PnL
- -$4.58
No position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $9.39
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $7.07
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.6
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.95
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.51
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.08
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.54
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.46
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.57
No position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.42
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.41
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 93.7% 5 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 70% 5.29 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes 7.2% 3.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 0.3% 7.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 0.3% 48 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 77% 126.23 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 67.6% 5 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 98.4% 5 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 38% 16.21 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 98.3% 14 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 73% 5 shares