Rami.666

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $20.07
Potential payout: $790.07
Potential profit: $770
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.67
Potential profit: $766.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $701.4
Potential profit: $697.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$6.49

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $401.52
Potential profit: $401.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $393.94
Potential profit: $384.09
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $147
Potential payout: $393.57
Potential profit: $246.57
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $168.27
Potential payout: $346.95
Potential profit: $178.68
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $15.86
Potential payout: $302.13
Potential profit: $286.27
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $19.85
Potential payout: $298.51
Potential profit: $278.66
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $163.34
Potential profit: $163.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $143.36
Potential profit: $142.71
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $118.26
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $83.45
Potential profit: $82.24
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.79
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.38
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.27
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $23.52
Potential payout: $32.67
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $94.54

No position

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.39

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.35

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Argentina go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET