Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $336.85
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.62K
Polymarket Trader
0xb5d6...d6a3
0xb5d6d78045a6baec655f359ff67ca6332c08d6a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $336.85
- Realized PnL
- $833.27
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.49
- Potential profit
- $56.49
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.45
- Potential profit
- $25.45
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.12
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.3% 18.91 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 0.3% 72.7 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 19% 382.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 32.9% 3.43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 34% 3,210.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 42% 238.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 227.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 51% 382.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 51% 196.08 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 48% 208.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 22.7% 17.64 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 60% 166.67 shares