No position
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $374.32
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $262.07
Polymarket Trader
crackenthusiast
0xb5e25c4d781854ea4ac0f3c4b55f81b5991ee599
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.23K
- Realized PnL
- $25.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$639.53
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $954.85
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $514.15
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $185.99
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $726
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $474
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $847.7
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $211.93
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $43.41
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$177.88
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $601.59
- Potential payout
- $865.73
- Potential profit
- $264.13
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $251.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $757.99
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $182
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $14.97
- Potential payout
- $680.49
- Potential profit
- $665.52
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$228.91
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $649.51
- Potential payout
- $656.4
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $326.35
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $536.65
- Potential payout
- $650.48
- Potential profit
- $113.83
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $216.65
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $543
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Current value
- $475.5
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $124.5
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $43.22
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$315
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$235
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $472.75
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $182.46
- Potential payout
- $499.9
- Potential profit
- $317.43
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $448.42
- Potential payout
- $449.99
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- User PnL
- $214.42
Yes position
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $176.76
- Potential payout
- $420.87
- Potential profit
- $244.1
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $99.65
No position
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $337.96
- Potential payout
- $399.95
- Potential profit
- $61.99
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $69.99
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $375.85
- Potential payout
- $381.96
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $92.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $300.08
- Potential profit
- $285.22
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$138.19
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $192.43
- Potential payout
- $215
- Potential profit
- $22.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $72.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
US kicks trans members out of military before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
TikTok banned in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Record low border encounters in April?
Ends May 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.89
Yes position
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $834.57
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.96
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.38
No position
1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.93
Yes position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $646.29
Yes position
Will Trump ban institutional investor single-family home purchases?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612
No position
1,100+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.37
No position
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $604.97
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $595.41
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.88
Yes position
700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.89
No position
350k+ Tesla deliveries in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.31
Yes position
Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 47% 500 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 61% 300 shares
- Epstein storage units raided in 2026?No 71% 300 shares
- Epstein storage units raided in 2026?No 70.8% 400 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 22% 3,498.73 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 20.3% 1,231.65 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 27.3% 365.73 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 50% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 74% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 70.3% 142.25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 75.8% 131.97 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 70.3% 142.25 shares