Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $613.52
- Potential profit
- $613.52
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
elithewhiteguy
0xb5e4def83a77ab2a171a2bc112638b6e78a39b0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $518.54
- Realized PnL
- $2.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $65.01
- Potential payout
- $567.79
- Potential profit
- $502.78
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$23.35
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.93
- Potential profit
- $273.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$30.06
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $27.99
- Potential payout
- $223.9
- Potential profit
- $195.92
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.21
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.2
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $116.61
- Potential profit
- $115.33
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$24.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.43
- Potential profit
- $111.43
- User PnL
- -$28.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $100.2
- Potential profit
- $90.68
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $81.61
- Potential payout
- $96.92
- Potential profit
- $15.31
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $38.97
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $67.88
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.62
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $49.99
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $60.54
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.9%
- Current value
- $52.56
- Potential payout
- $63.44
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $14.37
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $45.63
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $56.8
- Potential profit
- $56.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.5
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $48.34
- Potential payout
- $49.1
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18.34
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$11.2
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $26.49
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $17.49
- Potential payout
- $22.43
- Potential profit
- $4.93
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.49
No position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.83
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.97
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.27
N
No position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.27
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.8
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.45
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.85
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.71
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
No position
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.22
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 0.4% 613.52 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74.7% 13.39 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 40.9% 14.68 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 45.1% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 44.5% 112.23 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 61.1% 49.1 shares
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?No 69% 7.25 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 69% 72.46 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.4% 5.3 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.6% 35.9 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.4% 8.84 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 71% 50 shares