No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $3.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $90.08
Polymarket Trader
LPTT
0xb5f22dd45afd2f44c7db04d6b2d311590898f61a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.3K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.85K
- Win rate
- 26.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $765.32
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $17.66
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $942.03
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $923.37
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$46.63
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $248.31
- Potential payout
- $337.84
- Potential profit
- $89.53
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.5
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.42
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$117.24
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$148
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$260
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 74% 337.84 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 71.9% 2,782.97 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 53.1% 3,765.91 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 12% 689.65 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 15% 3,679.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 88% 2,564.1 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 19% 1,052.63 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No 27% 1,481.48 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 2.9% 690.17 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 5.3% 1,899.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 39% 2,564.1 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 10.9% 1,828.1 shares