Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $146.25
- Potential profit
- $142.16
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Polymarket Trader
Xiao.Dong
0xb5f440be120825a44ef3ce9e879a879485379ffc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.5
- Realized PnL
- -$3.32
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.3
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $98.65
- Potential profit
- $96.43
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $88.43
- Potential profit
- $83.56
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $81.49
- Potential profit
- $81.45
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $17.49
- Potential profit
- $17.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $14.25
- Potential profit
- $10.33
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?Yes 5.7% 17.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 3?Yes 5.7% 88.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?Yes 11.1% 11.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 2?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?Yes 8.6% 11.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?Yes 3.1% 23.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?Yes 3.7% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?Yes 3.3% 10.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?Yes 5.1% 28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 2?Yes 8.2% 12.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?Yes 9% 11.11 shares