Polymarket Trader

curare

0xb5fe5f289d39f80b4959c9f932943767c5675ebf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $770
Realized PnL: $234.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $8.16K
User PnL: -$1.35K

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $770
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $270

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$195

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 8AM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.77
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Yes 15% 1,333.33 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 8.2% 2,439.26 shares
US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Yes 18.2% 1,100.9 shares
US strike on Cuba by January 31?

Yes 4.9% 454.82 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 39% 500 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 8AM ET

Down 62% 96.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET

Up 99.9% 113.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 7AM ET

Up 88.2% 113.39 shares
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Yes 33.6% 4,755.94 shares
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Yes 34.1% 4,755.94 shares
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Yes 31.5% 9,511.89 shares

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