No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $41.65
- Potential payout
- $97.99
- Potential profit
- $56.35
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$10.42
Polymarket Trader
smallj8
0xb6152fd01273a78f1e74899c7a62f040a46a62b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $227.91
- Realized PnL
- $7.6
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $25.47
- Potential payout
- $96.12
- Potential profit
- $70.65
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $49.77
- Potential payout
- $88.11
- Potential profit
- $38.34
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $46.94
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $25.75
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $24.25
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $20.15
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $10.26
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 9?No 66% 4.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 8?No 45% 1.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 8?No 64% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?No 66% 31.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 8?Yes 32% 22.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 8?No 58.3% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 9?No 66.4% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?No 67% 40.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?Yes 20% 12.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?Yes 22% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 8?Yes 32% 38.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?Yes 22% 1.7 shares