Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xb625F16d0d339e5b95e543bf594C6B63dE3C79C1-1773668995930
0xb625f16d0d339e5b95e543bf594c6b63de3c79c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $356.9
- Realized PnL
- $1.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump Leave China on May 17?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump Leave China on May 18?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump on $250 bill this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $154.72
- Potential payout
- $167.26
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $119.94
- Potential payout
- $128.28
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.82
- Potential profit
- $115.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Hungary position
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Hungary
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $64.62
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $12.31
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $14.62
No position
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.43
- Potential profit
- $76.43
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.87
- Potential profit
- $74.87
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.88
- Potential profit
- $61.88
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $57.8
- Potential profit
- $50.78
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $10.61
- Potential payout
- $52.91
- Potential profit
- $42.3
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.62
- Potential profit
- $51.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.6
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.72
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.96
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.52
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.95
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.07
No position
Will Trump say "London" during Healthcare Affordability Events?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.28
No position
Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
No position
Will Trump say "Fat shot / Ozempic" during Healthcare Affordability Events?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 54% 37.04 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No 25.9% 38.65 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?No 97% 13.88 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.9% 18.18 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?No 57% 5.26 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?No 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Yes 26% 7.69 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Yes 18.1% 11.05 shares
- Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?Yes 4% 50.5 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 45% 10 shares