Xyzzzzzzz

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.64
Potential profit: $617.64
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.1
Potential profit: $486.1
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438.53
Potential profit: $438.53
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.17
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.83
Potential profit: $288.83
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 23, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.5
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $124.52
Potential profit: $121.53
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $109.83
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.42
Potential profit: $105.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.76
Potential profit: $96.76
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.04
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75.19
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.75
Potential profit: $72.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.67
Potential profit: $70.67
User PnL: -$1

Marcos Giron position

Wimbledon ATP: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.84
Potential profit: $69.84
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.19
Potential profit: $69.19
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.81
Potential profit: $59.81
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $49.13
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Arthur Fery position

Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Fery

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Rafael Jodar position

Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Grigor Dimitrov position

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Osorio/Sierra position

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Osorio/Sierra vs Williams/Williams

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET