Polymarket Trader

Scroogie

0xb634676d70b2de5c2cee7adad8b88442f536eefa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.17
Realized PnL: $17.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$197.27

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$281.92

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $76.01
Potential profit: $66.51
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $11.74
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $64.02
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$13.26

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $57.33
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $54.6
Potential payout: $66.18
Potential profit: $11.58
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $50.1
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$41.5

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $31.67
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 on February 10?

Yes 83% 50 shares
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 10?

Yes 48% 50 shares
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes 13.2% 76.01 shares
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes 33.2% 60 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 33% 75.76 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 22.6% 884.96 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 22.7% 17.49 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 22.4% 223.21 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 22.4% 100 shares