Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $46.43
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $55.61
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Polymarket Trader
Ronoc
0xb638d7fe12675228351eb363dcebb61774a0e09f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.63
- Realized PnL
- $259.53
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Colombia position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.7
- Potential profit
- $80.7
- User PnL
- -$49.23
Mexico position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.13
- Potential profit
- $76.13
- User PnL
- -$35.78
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $56.48
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Brazil position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.43
- Potential profit
- $51.43
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $43.24
- Potential payout
- $47.25
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.06
Y
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $9.48
- Potential payout
- $20.18
- Potential profit
- $10.7
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$6.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.14
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.11
Belgium position
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.33
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Morocco position
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.57
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
France position
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Y
Yes position
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?No 1% 73.25 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No 1% 52.85 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?No 39.6% 73.25 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No 56.8% 52.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 95% 62.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 77% 26.86 shares
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by July 31?Yes 78% 20.18 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 76% 20.39 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia 61% 80.7 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina 86% 52.33 shares
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium 47% 94.96 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 67.6% 67.12 shares