0xb65b...10ef

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $112.66
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $94.17
Potential profit: $92.15
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $64.78
Potential profit: $60.35
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on July 17?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $35.07
Potential profit: $32.91
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $22.8
Potential profit: $22.57
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $19.06
Potential profit: $15.2
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $18.24
Potential profit: $17.06
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $14.54
Potential profit: $14.43
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $13.65
Potential profit: $10.58
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 17.8%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 5.62x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $12.18
Potential profit: $8.47
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $9.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.71
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $6.28
Potential profit: $5.59
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.69
Potential profit: $5.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $4.79
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $2.95
Potential profit: $1.52
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Alexander Frusina position

ITF Louisville: Ryan Colby vs Alexander Frusina

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 18?