Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.14K
- User PnL
- -$32.99
Polymarket Trader
0xB6756421bd99A7cd51e1c205766d7E51D93d3D65-1756688450800
0xb6756421bd99a7cd51e1c205766d7e51d93d3d65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.17K
- Realized PnL
- $15.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$53.25
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$262.15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.5
- Potential profit
- $589.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.06
- Potential profit
- $581.06
- User PnL
- -$302.05
Yes position
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468.89
- Potential profit
- $468.89
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $467.84
- Potential profit
- $467.84
- User PnL
- -$102
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $300.01
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.42
- Potential profit
- $228.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.12
- Potential profit
- $208.12
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.29
- Potential profit
- $180.29
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.36
- Potential profit
- $176.36
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.14
- Potential profit
- $157.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.44
- Potential profit
- $148.44
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.41
- Potential profit
- $124.41
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9PM ET
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will anyone say "Inflation" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.48
- Potential profit
- $71.48
- User PnL
- -$55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $992.64
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.56
No position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.51
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.7
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.99
No position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.82
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.16
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.25
Yes position
Gervonta Davis arrested by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.14
No position
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.55
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.13
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.94
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.83
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.63
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.92
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $116.54
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.07
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 45% 1,403.76 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 45% 766.67 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 45% 40.2 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 46% 32.61 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 46% 32.61 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 48% 31.25 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 50.5% 69.33 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 52% 57.69 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes 10.9% 164.47 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes 16% 87.61 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes 2.7% 181.81 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 71.6% 139.7 shares