Polymarket Trader

insuline

0xb67ae6028eb1154db7793efeeb31d4b491b907ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $274.12
Realized PnL: $5.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $222.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $777.5
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: -$706.35

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $797.46
Potential profit: $792.28
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$178.23

Yes position

Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $45.36
Potential payout: $453.57
Potential profit: $408.21
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $32.06

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.48
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $159.23
Potential profit: $158.67
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$16.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.98

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $283.22

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISION

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.99

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 439.83 shares
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?

Yes 16.2% 40 shares
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?

No 78% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Up 53% 82.96 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 522.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Up 43.7% 196.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Down 43.6% 33.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Down 33.7% 197.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Up 44% 18.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Down 43.3% 181.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Down 28% 98.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Down 38% 197.22 shares