Polymarket Trader

noho-

0xb67b3761aa2e4ed8448231ab686a2c5b99dce253

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.36
Realized PnL: $44.7
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.3
Potential profit: $206.3
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.18
Potential profit: $70.18
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.22
Potential profit: $61.22
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $44.61
Potential profit: $40.97
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the April decision?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.89
Potential profit: $33.89
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $33.13
Potential profit: $29.17
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.39
Potential profit: $32.39
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $25.69
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $20.79
Potential profit: $17.18
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $15.29
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $13.64
User PnL: -$3

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $9.36
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $9.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $6.47
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.58

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Yes position

Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Trump say "Australia" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 40.1% 4.99 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Yes 48.1% 20.79 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.1% 19.61 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 12.3% 8.13 shares
Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Yes 10.7% 9.36 shares
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Yes 13.8% 7.25 shares
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 39% 4.64 shares
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 36% 5.56 shares
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 67% 2.99 shares
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Yes 72% 4.17 shares