Polymarket Trader

alwayslatetotheparty

0xb687f00464e33934f5d591f224e71c3559ecaee5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.36K
Realized PnL: $4.07M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $4.24M
Potential profit: $4.24M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$68.56K

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $4.24M
Potential profit: $4.24M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$68.56K

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $4.24M
Potential profit: $4.24M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$68.56K

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $3.52M
Potential profit: $3.52M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.86K

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $3.46M
Potential profit: $3.46M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.95K

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $3.46M
Potential profit: $3.46M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.93K

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $3.42M
Potential profit: $3.42M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.26K

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $3.42M
Potential profit: $3.42M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.26K

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $3.36M
Potential profit: $3.36M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$54.28K

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $3M
Potential profit: $3M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.52K

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $2.69M
Potential profit: $2.69M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$43.45K

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $686.88
Potential payout: $1.37M
Potential profit: $1.37M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.21K

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.46K
Potential payout: $982.77K
Potential profit: $980.31K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$13.92K

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $713.23K
Potential profit: $713.23K
User PnL: -$11.89K

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $713.23K
Potential profit: $713.23K
User PnL: -$11.89K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $468.16K
Potential profit: $466.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.63K

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $666.51
Potential payout: $444.34K
Potential profit: $443.68K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.74K

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $557.06
Potential payout: $371.38K
Potential profit: $370.82K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.63K

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $463.54
Potential payout: $185.42K
Potential profit: $184.95K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.63K

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $92.71
Potential payout: $185.42K
Potential profit: $185.32K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $834.37
Potential payout: $185.42K
Potential profit: $184.58K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.26K

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $185.42K
Potential profit: $184.4K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.07K

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $388.21
Potential payout: $110.92K
Potential profit: $110.53K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.46K

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $499.13
Potential payout: $110.92K
Potential profit: $110.42K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.35K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.16M

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $657.1K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $373.56K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: $313.14K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $300.78K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $104.59K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $48.44K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $37.67K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.99K

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $11.35K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $10.94K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $9.24K

No position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $6.06K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $4.56K

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $4.32K

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.48K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.9%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.81K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $2.5K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 66.7%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: $1.17K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 482 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 1,000 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 1,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 938.89 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 1,000 shares