Polymarket Trader

0xb6987E4A9B5F238BF627ff2AA511F0C0Da50976A-1770763811959

0xb6987e4a9b5f238bf627ff2aa511f0c0da50976a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.92
Realized PnL: $8.01K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.29K
Potential profit: $495.29K
User PnL: -$777.61

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.21K
Potential profit: $51.21K
User PnL: -$385.54

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$316.96

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.41K
Potential profit: $14.41K
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $49.14
Potential payout: $9.83K
Potential profit: $9.78K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$23.85

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $20.71
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$92.29

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$19.87

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$86.86

Yes position

Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$23.55

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.18
Potential profit: $525.18
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $244.93
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$12.88

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.12
Potential profit: $244.12
User PnL: -$120.75

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.8
Potential profit: $134.8
User PnL: -$1.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $801.55

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.04

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.51

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 7?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.39

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.76

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.32

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.62

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.61

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.04

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 9,827.82 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3% 245 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 6 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 3,750 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 3,750 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 4% 1,254.52 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 3.3% 1,680.89 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 3.2% 250 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 15,555.55 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 15,555.56 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

No 16.8% 525.18 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 30.8% 222.22 shares