R21llsa

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.98
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $831.03
Potential profit: $829.37
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$15.26

Yes position

Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $673.68
Potential profit: $670.99
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $664.76
Potential profit: $662.43
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $16.71
Potential payout: $607.56
Potential profit: $590.85
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $7.27
Potential payout: $605.77
Potential profit: $598.5
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $513.34
Potential profit: $510.26
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will Meta acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $495.21
Potential profit: $492.74
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Amazon acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $368.29
Potential profit: $364.98
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $309.45
Potential profit: $308.22
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $8.61
Potential payout: $302.11
Potential profit: $293.5
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $271.94
Potential profit: $269.35
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $166.63
Potential profit: $159.14
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $154.52
Potential profit: $153.67
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $147.43
Potential profit: $145.44
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $130.3
Potential profit: $128.15
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $125.22
Potential profit: $123.28
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.76
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $114.89
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $112.48
Potential profit: $110.12
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $108.22
Potential profit: $105.78
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $102.68
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $103.74
Potential profit: $102.03
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.87

Colorado State Rams position

Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $61.86

Yes position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.26

Yes position

Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.65

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.89

Under position

VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.94

Yes position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.92

Yes position

Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.3

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.74

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.11

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.02

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.54

Youtube Allstars position

Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.29

No position

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.28

No position

Will Wisconsin advance to the National Championship?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.19

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 - March 22 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.87

Yes position

Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.61

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?