Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$996.96
Polymarket Trader
Orielul
0xb6a7677b7139d8cb86b482152ec23bfaafe42e3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.71K
- Realized PnL
- -$289.22
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.65
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.7
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.7
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.53
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95.59
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 56.6% 3,714.53 shares
- Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes 68.7% 140.03 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 93.8% 105.26 shares
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 79.5% 111.11 shares
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No 65% 117.64 shares
- Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes 88% 114.94 shares
- Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No 67% 149.25 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No 90% 116.27 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 64.1% 161.29 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 1.5% 294.11 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No 98.8% 139.77 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?No 99.5% 1,078.64 shares