Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $98.99
- Potential payout
- $117.15
- Potential profit
- $18.16
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Polymarket Trader
Fengcc85
0xb6a7a06b4b25f2ea4d9eeb57ac1a9131d254eb01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.82
- Realized PnL
- $166.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $13.74
- Potential payout
- $58.46
- Potential profit
- $44.72
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.13
- Potential profit
- $35.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $13.92
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $11.04
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.41
- Potential profit
- $11.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- Multiplier
- 5.35x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.87
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.22
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Kings position
Warriors vs. Kings
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $7.22
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Hornets
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Lakers position
Suns vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Trail Blazers position
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Nuggets position
Thunder vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Hawks position
Cavaliers vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Philadelphia Phillies position
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Alexander Zverev position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Daria Kasatkina position
La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Knicks position
Raptors vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 58.82 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 357.1 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.6% 357.14 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 6.26 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99.3% 141.11 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes 13% 15.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 9% 27.78 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.5% 18.18 shares