Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75K
- Potential profit
- $18.75K
- User PnL
- -$36.45
Polymarket Trader
Gausslois
0xb6b4a6842d7ab57abf67b270247ca61e62696709
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.62K
- Realized PnL
- $5.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.19K
- Potential profit
- $12.19K
- User PnL
- -$32.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- User PnL
- -$106.21
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $286.12
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.75K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$40.86
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.37K
- Potential profit
- $9.37K
- User PnL
- -$29.3
No position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.89K
- Potential profit
- $8.89K
- User PnL
- -$8.89
Yes position
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.89K
- Potential profit
- $8.89K
- User PnL
- -$8.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $91.67
- Potential payout
- $6.32K
- Potential profit
- $6.23K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $77.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.46K
- User PnL
- -$76.53
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- User PnL
- -$46.44
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- User PnL
- -$72.8
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $447.56
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $211.57
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $506.94
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$280.05
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$389.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$3.56
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$149.98
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$23.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$14.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $37.8
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$56.56
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $176.01
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$90.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $715.96
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.77
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $94.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Wife" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.91
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.55
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.42
Yes position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $71.36
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.89
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.28
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.43
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.52
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $54.19
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 4% 56.26 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 4.2% 54.73 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?Yes 5% 420 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes 11% 420 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.5% 3,141 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3% 105 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.3% 258.68 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 48% 11.32 shares
- Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Yes 6% 8 shares
- SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX 87.6% 759.79 shares
- SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX 87.6% 314 shares
- SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX 87.5% 10.5 shares