Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.95K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
OliverGuts
0xb6b851854158fffaf6044659044274a656a6fc51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.73
- Realized PnL
- -$11.81
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $531.24
- Potential profit
- $531.24
- User PnL
- -$301.96
Yes position
Will another woman be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $411.18
- Potential profit
- $411.18
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.11
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $89.95
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.46
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.77
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.72
No position
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Illegal immigrant" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.71
Yes position
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce presidential run before DNC?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.82
No position
Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Democrats nominate Prez candidate August 8-18?
Ends Aug 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$125.95
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$169.54
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$323.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$334.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes 59% 172.81 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.3% 5,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes 55.8% 358.42 shares
- Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?Yes 4.2% 240.96 shares
- Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?Yes 4% 250 shares
- Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?Yes 4% 250 shares
- Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?Yes 6% 651.03 shares