Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $166.25
- Potential payout
- $861.38
- Potential profit
- $695.13
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Polymarket Trader
0xb6c2...bd86
0xb6c20b647cf8bddeda024d43824e5bf346cdbd86
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $856.36
- Realized PnL
- -$26.05
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $636.92
- Potential payout
- $816.57
- Potential profit
- $179.65
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $346.33
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $53.19
- Potential payout
- $258.85
- Potential profit
- $205.66
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$12.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$27.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.7% 376.7 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.6% 816.57 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19.6% 1,238.08 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 35.1% 867.11 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.5% 719.21 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.9% 667.94 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 35% 867.11 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.9% 667.94 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.6% 719.21 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 72.2% 655.08 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.3% 831.75 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 78.8% 507.6 shares