Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
SimonMonkvik
0xb6c856d6f4c257adaf4a29444c60f75d19a94cc4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.07
- Realized PnL
- $39.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.19
- Potential profit
- $67.19
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $45.96
- Potential profit
- $17.47
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.1%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $25.77
- Potential profit
- $15.45
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $13.15
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.92
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $15.13
- Potential payout
- $15.56
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $15.54
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $9.15
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Trump name "Leavitt" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pope" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dog" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?No 39% 2.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?No 62% 8.06 shares
- Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Yes 46% 9.09 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?Yes 45% 2.22 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?Yes 62% 1.61 shares
- Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?Yes 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?Yes 89% 3.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?Yes 75% 4 shares