Polymarket Trader

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0xb6c8661262da0e47289177f01dcf9ee32aa9892e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.31
Realized PnL: $567.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.06K
Potential profit: $10.06K
User PnL: -$71.74

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $7.15K
User PnL: -$44.34

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$26.7

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $69.11
Potential payout: $959.92
Potential profit: $890.81
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$43.82

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $296.25
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $129.28
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.03

Under position

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$29.5

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $16.67
Potential payout: $69.3
Potential profit: $52.63
Multiplier: 4.16x
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.85
Potential profit: $60.85
User PnL: -$20.08

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $39.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $20.7
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $33.3

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Petr Yan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.74
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next?

Ends Mar 8, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $19.22
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $7.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Arnold Allen fight Kevin Vallejos next?

Ends Mar 8, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.22

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.41

Under position

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.55

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.7

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.53

Yes position

SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.26

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Yes position

Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $4.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 6.1% 195.14 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.7% 56.31 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.6% 53.69 shares
O/U 0.5 Rounds

Under 50% 100 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 8.5% 1,616.99 shares
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
O/U 0.5 Rounds

Under 30% 100 shares
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO?

No 70% 1.43 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 2,400 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 114.77 shares
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 2,400 shares