No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.95
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Polymarket Trader
0xB6F45a0f0B083FB56AF0CF9cAD4E28111fDEA6ff-1772527383146
0xb6f45a0f0b083fb56af0cf9cad4e28111fdea6ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.33
- Realized PnL
- $2.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $3.48
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $2.32
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54.5% 3.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.3% 5.47 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 56% 2.32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 91% 1.63 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 50% 3.6 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95% 1.32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 67% 4.93 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 37.5% 9.95 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 95% 5.37 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 2.46 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99% 2.59 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 43% 4.88 shares