Polymarket Trader

Weather-Guru

0xb6fbce093cdd139858c44148a6598d8ec028c038

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $511.92
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $25.62
Potential payout: $244
Potential profit: $218.38
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $222
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $14.48
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $178.53
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $25.67
Potential payout: $177
Potential profit: $151.34
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $21.88
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $153.13
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $36.3
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $128.7
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $16.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $37.72
Potential payout: $164
Potential profit: $126.28
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $9.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $25.04
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $132.96
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 17.8%
Current value: $26.17
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $120.83
Multiplier: 5.62x
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $16.33
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $125.67
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $103.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $21.92
Potential payout: $137
Potential profit: $115.08
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $34.17
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $99.83
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.2%
Current value: $29.52
Potential payout: $122
Potential profit: $92.48
Multiplier: 4.13x
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $113.43
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $102.03
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $24.2
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $85.8
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.7
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $81.31
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $94.44
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $23.68
Potential payout: $100.57
Potential profit: $76.88
Multiplier: 4.25x
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.46
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $86.54
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $80.04
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $35.28
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $6.23
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $40.77
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 7% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 28?

Yes 13.7% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 8.6% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 29?

Yes 20.9% 33 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?

Yes 16% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 28?

Yes 14.4% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?

Yes 15% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?

Yes 15% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 9.9% 33 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 28?

Yes 15% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 9% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 8.3% 40 shares