Polymarket Trader

Lucianne

0xb704fbd37c261ee9c499565e0ec33ab1d1ddf938

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.5
Realized PnL: $16.91
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $440
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $68.54
Potential profit: $63.72
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$15.17

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $51.41
Potential profit: $50.82
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $12.08
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $15.69
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$7.92

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $7.42

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 18, 8AM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Nuggets position

Rockets vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Hawks

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.96

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 2AM ET

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 58% 8.62 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 7.5% 17.24 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 1.7% 49.35 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 2% 49.36 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 5.8% 17.24 shares
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 98.8% 7.04 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 7.8% 51.41 shares
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Yes 71% 7.04 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 54% 32.25 shares
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 1.7% 355.57 shares
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Yes 0.1% 55.55 shares